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The US and Europe have a narrow window to change Russia's war trajectory

Editor's note: The op-ed is based on a broader report by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), published on Oct. 13, 2026. The United States and Europe risk squandering the best opportunity since 2022 to alter Russia's trajectory toward a longer and larger war. Ukraine currently has the best chance of seizing the strategic initiative against Russia since December 2022, even as it faces the greatest risk to its momentum. Russia's ballistic missile and jet-powered drone campaign against Ukr

A man is seen through a broken window inside a damaged building in Kyiv, Ukraine, on May 14, 2026.

About Lithuania

Lithuania is a Baltic state covering 65,300 square kilometers (25,212 square miles) with a population of approximately 2.8 million. Lithuania’s capital is Vilnius. The country is one of the top providers of military aid to Ukraine in terms of percentage of GDP, with total aid exceeding 1.7 billion euros. Lithuania hosts Ukrainian refugees, supports sanctions against Russia, and advocates for Ukraine's NATO and EU membership.

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