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War Notes

War analysis

Ukraine makes gains 1 week into counteroffensive but decisive battle yet to begin

Ukraine makes gains 1 week into counteroffensive but decisive battle yet to begin

by Francis Farrell

Ukraine’s large-scale counteroffensive, anticipated for months, spearheaded by new Western tanks and armored vehicles, has finally begun. No longer limited to shaping operations or localized counterattacks, evidence shows the beginning of major Ukrainian offensive pushes to break through fortified Russian lines along several axes. Though Ukraine’s offensive operations

Can Russia afford to commit to a years-long war?

Can Russia afford to commit to a years-long war?

by Katie Marie Davies

When Russian President Vladimir Putin launched an all-out war against Ukraine, U.S. intelligence claimed that Russian forces planned to sweep Kyiv within days. More than 13 months on, Ukraine's defenses still stand firm. But Ukrainians are now faced with a different threat – the Kremlin appears to be trying to

Can Ukraine maintain and optimally use its modern Western tanks?

Can Ukraine maintain and optimally use its modern Western tanks?

by Igor Kossov

Future Ukrainian counterattacks using modern Western combat vehicles are being discussed everywhere, from Washington news conferences to Ukrainian military expert circles. Ukraine hopes to receive up to two brigades of tanks, on top of many infantry vehicles from Western allies. But there are two main obstacles to using the tanks

Ukraine's Christmas wish list: What is needed to end the war quickly

Ukraine's Christmas wish list: What is needed to end the war quickly

by Francis Farrell

This holiday season, as people celebrate with their families and stroll brightly-decorated streets across the world, Russia's war against Ukraine has reached a crucial point. Ukraine's autumn campaign has been a resounding success, with counteroffensives in Kharkiv, Donetsk, and Kherson oblasts liberating thousands of square kilometers of territory. More importantly,

6 months of war: How Russia got derailed in Ukraine

6 months of war: How Russia got derailed in Ukraine

by Illia Ponomarenko

Shock and awe roared over Kyiv Oblast in the early hours of Feb. 24, 2022. Dozens of Russian Ka-52 and Mi-8 helicopters rushed south at low altitude over the Dnipro River, carrying 200-300 elite stormtroopers with the 11th Guards Air Assault Brigade. Some of the helicopters were downed and fell

Why is Russia so vulnerable to HIMARS in Ukraine?

Why is Russia so vulnerable to HIMARS in Ukraine?

by Illia Ponomarenko

It’s been nearly a month since U.S.-provided High Mobility Artillery Rocket System, or HIMARS, had their long-awaited debut in Ukraine, but their combat record is already extensive. Using all the heavy and long-range weaponry available to it, including HIMARS, Ukraine began a campaign that has destroyed dozens

Russia’s offensive in Donbas bogs down

Russia’s offensive in Donbas bogs down

by Illia Ponomarenko

The Battle of Donbas is raging high, but it’s not going the way Russia wanted it to. Almost 20 days in, the much-anticipated and feared grand offensive falls short of expectations. It is still not even close to achieving its ultimate goal — the encircling and crippling of the core

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