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ISW: Russian military 'may be setting conditions' for attack on Ukraine from Belarus, although not in nearest future.

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The Institute for the Study of War predicts that Russia’s attack on Ukraine from Belarus is more plausible at the end of 2023.

“There are no observed indicators that Russian forces in Belarus have the command and control structures necessary for the winter or spring 2023 attack against Ukraine about which Ukrainian issued warnings in late 2022,” the ISW writes.

The ISW adds that by the fall of 2023, Russia might be able to complete a couple of conscription cycles. Also, the delay could allow Russia to produce more military equipment.

Since the launch of the full-scale invasion on Feb. 24, Belarus has participated in Russia’s aggression by letting Russian troops use its territory to attack Ukraine. However, Belarusian troops have not been sent to Ukraine yet.

NYT: Intelligence chief Budanov says no intelligence points to imminent threat from Belarus
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The Kyiv Independent

The Kyiv Independent is an award-winning English-language media outlet that offers on-the-ground reporting from Ukraine. The publication has received international recognition for its coverage of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

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As Russia bombards Ukraine with Shahed drones almost every night, the 12th Army Aviation Brigade takes to the skies in decades-old helicopters to intercept them. The Kyiv Independent’s Kollen Post joined the pilots to understand how they fly, maneuver, and shoot down drones in darkness — and what keeps them going.

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