Skip to content
Edit post

Russian military buildup near Ukraine, explained

by Illia Ponomarenko November 18, 2021 11:13 PM 1 min read
(Maxar Technologies)
This audio is created with AI assistance

Russia has been massing troops on Ukraine’s border, with NATO countries warning that the threat of a larger Russian invasion is very real. Here’s what you need to know.

How many Russian troops are on the border?

Ukraine’s Defense Ministry estimates that there are about 90,000 Russian troops deployed along the two countries’ border and inside the occupied territories. Last month, the Washington Post called it the largest military buildup in the region since April 2021, when Russia amassed 100,000 troops in the area.

Does Ukraine expect an imminent invasion?

Official responses have been mixed. At the start of the month, the Defense Ministry said it saw no signs of an upcoming invasion. The National Security and Defense Council called the alarmed Western media reports “disinformation.”

But on Nov. 15, Ukraine’s military intelligence chief Kyrylo Budanov said that the movement of heavy weapons near Ukraine’s border could be interpreted as “preparation for a large-scale invasion and an attempt to render psychological pressure.”

What does the West say?

Western militaries and governments are concerned. They have warned Ukraine that a Russian military escalation is very likely this winter. NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg recently called on the bloc’s members to “keep their eyes open.”

According to media reports, the United Kingdom considered sending 600 special forces troops to Ukraine. U.S. Central Intelligence Agency Сhief Bill Burns reportedly visited Moscow in early November to warn the Kremlin against invading.

What do experts say?

Expert opinions have been mixed. According to the U.S. Institute for the Study of War, satellite pictures do not indicate that Russia’s airborne forces, heavy artillery and Black Sea fleet are preparing for mass mobilization.

However, U.K. defense intelligence company Janes said that Russia has been covertly deploying elite ground units, often at night. “The moves appeared aimed less at intimidation than at producing an active threat,” Janes stated.

News Feed

3:58 PM

Kadyrov claims he revoked order not to take Ukrainian soldiers prisoner.

After the first drone strike against Russia's North Caucasus republic that targeted the Russian Special Forces University of Vladimir Putin in the Chechen city of Gudermes on Oct. 29, Kadyrov said he ordered all of his commanders fighting against Ukraine "not to take prisoners and destroy" Ukrainian soldiers as retribution.
2:15 AM

Ukraine launches 5G pilot project.

"This is one of the key steps towards the full launch of 5G in Ukraine, which we plan to complete by 2030," Digital Transformation Minister Mykhailo Fedorov said on Nov. 1.
8:43 PM

These Ukrainian women down Russian drones.

The Kyiv Independent joined one such unit that refers to themselves as the Witches of Bucha, after a suburb in Kyiv Oblast where they are based. Since all of them are volunteers, these women combine their combat duties with civilian lives.
5:28 PM

Ukrainian Defense Ministry's chief inspector fired.

The Main Inspectorate of the Defense Ministry audits the ministry's activities, including monitoring the quality of military training and staffing, overseeing military aviation safety, and conducting technical investigations, among other functions.
MORE NEWS

Editors' Picks

Enter your email to subscribe
Please, enter correct email address
Subscribe
* indicates required
* indicates required
Subscribe
* indicates required
* indicates required
Subscribe
* indicates required
Subscribe
* indicates required
Subscribe
* indicates required

Subscribe

* indicates required
Subscribe
* indicates required
Subscribe
* indicates required
Explaining Ukraine with Kate Tsurkan
* indicates required
Successfuly subscribed
Thank you for signing up for this newsletter. We’ve sent you a confirmation email.