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Poland heads to runoff between pro-EU Trzaskowski and Eurosceptic Nawrocki

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Poland heads to runoff between pro-EU Trzaskowski and Eurosceptic Nawrocki
Centrist candidate Rafal Trzaskowski casts his vote with his wife in the Ursynow district in Warsaw, Poland, on May 18, 2025, during the country's presidential election. On Sunday the polls showed a very minor, almost insignificant lead for Trzaskowski over his conservative rival Karol Nawrocki. (Jaap Arriens / NurPhoto via Getty Images)

Editor's note: The article was updated with final election results.

Warsaw Mayor Rafal Trzaskowski narrowly led Poland’s presidential election on May 18, but failed to secure an outright victory. He will face conservative Karol Nawrocki in a runoff on June 1.

Trzaskowski, a senior figure in Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s Civic Platform (PO) party, won 31.4% of the vote, final results showed. Nawrocki, a historian backed by the conservative Law and Justice (PiS) party, came in second with 29.5%, setting the stage for a closely contested runoff as no candidate among the 13 contenders passed the 50% threshold.

Speaking to supporters at a rally in Sandomierz, southern Poland, Trzaskowski said: "We’re going to win," but acknowledged that victory would require "a lot of work and great determination." He added, "I’m convinced that all Poland will win."

Trzaskowski has pledged to work with Tusk’s coalition government to liberalize Poland’s strict abortion laws and to push forward long-stalled judicial reforms, which were previously blocked under the PiS-led government.

Despite leading the polls in the lead-up to the vote, Trzaskowski underperformed expectations, which had placed him 4–6 points ahead of Nawrocki. His campaign now faces the challenge of consolidating centrist and center-left support, including from junior coalition parties such as the Left and the conservative Third Way.

Nawrocki, relatively unknown nationally before being endorsed by the PiS party, has seen his profile rise throughout the campaign. Addressing his supporters in Gdansk, he warned that Tusk must be stopped from gaining "total power in Poland." He urged voters who backed far-right candidates Slawomir Mentzen (14.8%) and Grzegorz Braun (6.3%) to rally behind him in the second round to "save Poland" from Tusk’s influence.

While Poland’s presidency is largely ceremonial, the role carries veto power. With Tusk’s coalition lacking the parliamentary majority to override a presidential veto, the outcome of the runoff will determine whether the government can move forward with key reforms.

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Olena Goncharova

Head of North America desk

Olena Goncharova is the Head of North America desk at The Kyiv Independent, where she has previously worked as a development manager and Canadian correspondent. She first joined the Kyiv Post, Ukraine's oldest English-language newspaper, as a staff writer in January 2012 and became the newspaper’s Canadian correspondent in June 2018. She is based in Edmonton, Alberta. Olena has a master’s degree in publishing and editing from the Institute of Journalism in Taras Shevchenko National University in Kyiv. Olena was a 2016 Alfred Friendly Press Partners fellow who worked for the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette for six months. The program is administered by the University of Missouri School of Journalism in Columbia.

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