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US intelligence chief: Putin still wants to seize most of Ukraine.

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Avril Haines, the U.S. director of national intelligence, said on June 29 that Russian dictator Vladimir Putin had not changed his goal to seize most of Ukraine. U.S. intelligence agencies see three scenarios in the near term:  a grinding conflict in which Russia only makes incremental gains, but no breakthrough, a major Russian breakthrough, or Ukraine achieving small gains in southern Ukraine while stabilizing the frontline. "In short, the picture remains pretty grim," Haines said.

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Russia failed to break Ukraine’s army on the battlefield, and now it’s trying to do it through a peace plan that would cap Ukraine’s forces at 600,000. Some argue that Ukraine would shrink its army — currently estimated at about 800,000 — after the war anyway.

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