Ukrainian servicemen firing toward Russian positions near Bakhmut, Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine, on March 21, 2023.
Opinion

Why Ukraine needs Russia's terminal defeat – not just deterrence

by Lesia Ogryzko

Five years into the full-scale conflict, it has become clear that the model of strategic deterrence – the "steel porcupine" that Ursula von der Leyen often invokes when speaking about Ukraine –  offers no guarantee of resilience and long-term peace. The "steel porcupine" model assumes that, given Russia's significant resource advantage, Ukraine's only realistic strategy is to build a defense so strong that continued aggression becomes prohibitively costly for Russia. However, as of 2026, this

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Analysis: Is Ukraine starting to win the war again?

Who is winning? Since the launch of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the information space around the war has been obsessed with this deceptively simple question, and the constant new iterations of answers to it. In the hands of those fighting the narrative war, from officials on both sides, online cheerleaders, armchair generals, and a certain world leader who likes to talk about who has the cards, the answers differ radically, but all are delivered with consistent venom, emotion, and

Ukrainian recruits at a training center in an undisclosed location in Ukraine on March 27, 2026.

Ukraine war latest: Putin says he believes war in Ukraine almost over

Key developments on May 9-10: * Putin says he believes war in Ukraine almost over * 'Victory will be ours,' Putin tells Victory Day parade without any tanks * Russia breaks 3-day ceasefire as strikes kill 1, injure 19 across Ukraine * Kremlin says it expects US envoys Witkoff, Kushner, 'quite soon' Russian President Vladimir Putin said on May 9 that he believes the full-scale war in Ukraine will be over soon. "I think the (war in Ukraine) is coming to an end," he told journalists at a Kre

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