Ukraine calendar: What will happen this week
Editor's note: This article is a shortened on-site version of KI Insights' public newsletter, The Week Ahead, covering events from August 4-10. Sign up here to start your week with an agenda of Ukraine-related events delivered directly to your inbox every week.
Next week, on August 8, U.S. President Donald Trump’s deadline for Russia will arrive (symbolically, on Trump’s 200th day in office). The United States wants a peace agreement to be signed by that date.
If no progress is made, Washington is prepared to impose additional sanctions, including up to 100% secondary tariffs on Russian oil. So far, no meaningful steps have been taken by Russia. As of today, a 25% tariff has been imposed on India in response to its continued purchases of Russian energy and arms.
Donald Trump also announced that Special Envoy Steve Witkoff is expected to visit Russia as soon as Aug. 3-4, once his Middle East tour concludes.
Learn more about the behind-the-scenes of the negotiations, Trump’s plans for Russia, and the prospects for a ceasefire in the latest Weekly Report by KI Insights.
A drone deal between Ukraine and the United States could be finalized in the coming weeks, as President Zelensky announced that an agreement has been reached. Valued at an estimated $10-30 billion, the agreement remains confidential in its details. It will likely involve joint or US-based drone production with Ukrainian technology transfer. For both sides, the deal represents a strategic move to showcase a mutually beneficial, “win-win” partnership.
In August, Ukraine is expected to receive €3.05 billion in EU funding, down from the initially planned €4.5 billion. The reduction was due to Ukraine’s failure to meet 3 out of 16 reform benchmarks under the Ukraine Facility program. The unmet reforms include: restructuring of the Asset Recovery and Management Agency (ARMA), the judicial selection process for the High Anti-Corruption Court, and decentralization reforms.
President Volodymyr Zelensky signed the ARMA reform law shortly after the EU announced its decision.
The appointment of the new head of the Bureau of Economic Security may finally be resolved next week. The process has been stalled since late June; this week, the government missed the IMF’s July 31 deadline. Prime Minister Yuliia Svyrydenko stated that Oleksandr Tsyvinskyi, selected by an independent commission, must undergo a polygraph test before he can be appointed. Earlier this week, Tsyvinskyi stated he would pursue legal action if the government fails to make a decision.
The Verkhovna Rada is going on recess until the end of the month, with the next plenary session most likely scheduled for August 19–22. Initially, the break was supposed to start on July 23, following a controversial vote on a bill restricting the powers of NABU and SAPO. However, after an extraordinary session on July 31, where the changes were effectively repealed, the parliament is now taking a break.
Events and Milestones:
- 12 August, 18:00 Kyiv time. Online event: Leveraging Logistics and Supply Chain for Ukraine. Co-hosted by Vector and Supply Chain Now, this live Zoom session focuses on how logistics and supply chain experts worldwide are mobilizing resources to support Ukraine amid the crisis. Previous sessions are available to view. Register here.
- 27 August, 18:00–19:30 Kyiv time (online). KI Insights Briefing: Inside Ukraine’s Media: Political Role, Donor Cuts, and Pressures from Power. A closed-door session on the media crisis amid shrinking donor support and rising political risks. Includes outlook for late 2025–2026, audience shifts, and key platforms. Register here.
- 2-4 Sept, Melbourne. Offline Event: 14th World Chambers Congress. Organized by the Ukrainian Chamber of Commerce, this global forum will gather chamber leaders and business representatives from over 100 countries to discuss key topics such as the global economy, energy, AI, cybersecurity, and ESG. Venue: Melbourne Convention and Exhibition Centre, Australia. Register here.
- 23 Sept, Bucharest. Offline event: Black Sea Oil Trade-2025 International Conference. This key industry event gathers 350+ participants from 25+ countries to explore the future of oilseed and veg oil trade across the Black Sea, Danube, and Eastern Europe. The agenda will address trade policy shifts, logistics, processing investments, and market trends shaping the 2025–26 season. Register here.
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