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Battlefield analysis: What Ukraine’s recent front-line gains really mean

Ukraine has survived its toughest winter yet during the full-scale war, but now it must face the spring. Across the front line, as the weather warms, the ground hardens, and spring foliage returns to the tree lines and forests of Ukraine's east, conditions for mounting assault operations improve in turn. In the spring campaign of 2026 — the fifth of the full-scale war — there are no more illusions, not in Ukraine nor in the international arena, that U.S.-mediated "peace negotiations" with Russ

The 148th Artillery Brigade near Pokrovsk, Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine, on Jan. 11, 2026.

About Ukraine

The Kyiv Independent delivers reliable news, context, and on-the-ground reporting from Ukraine. The largest country located entirely in Europe, Ukrainian territory covers 603,628 square kilometers (233,062 square miles), and is bordered by seven countries, namely Russia, Belarus, Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, and Moldova. Ukraine traces its history back to the medieval state of Kyivan Rus.

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